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public void updatePricing() { UserTransaction trans = ejbContext.getUserTransaction(); InitialContext ctx = new InitialContext(); DataSource p_conn = (DataSource)ctx.lookup("jdbc/Oracle"); Connection conn = p_conn.getConnection(); trans.begin(); try { // do some stuff here with the JDBC connection trans.commit(); } catch(SQLException se) { trans.rollback(); } }

Normality-based tool, assumes (just like dynamic hedging, that other famous scion of Normality) that markets are eternally liquid and continuous and that the actions of the theory-abiders will not change that VaR s ne print says that if you have to cut back you can always do it in an orderly, non-market-impacting, harmless way That is, VaR-guided risk-reduction is supposed to always be to your bene t, never to end up actually destroying you (and your friends) August 1998 showed that not to be exact If people use the same awed machine, there is a big chance that they will all consensually sink the market (and each other) when the machine predictably malfunctions Had Normality not been selected as the machine s spiritual core, such malaise would tend to happen much less often, as users would not be forced to dump stuff at the slightest piece of bad news.

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In two studies Ekman and his colleagues tested the lie detection skills of several groups of professional lie catchers They concluded that some groups appear to be better than others in catching liars In their study in 1991 members of the Secret Service outperformed laypersons, although their 64% accuracy rate is still moderate In 1999, they identi ed a few more groups with superior lie detection skills, particularly members of the CIA who obtained a 73% total accuracy rate11 Ekman and O Sullivan (1991) provided two reasons why secret agents make better lie detectors First, many Secret Service agents have done protection work, guarding important government of cials from potential attack This work included scanning crowds and in those scanning tasks they have to rely on nonverbal cues Perhaps their experience in relying on nonverbal cues made them better at spotting nonverbal cues to deceit in the deception task.

(8.3)

It would take a much more severe development to break a non-Normal measure A lot of players had copycatted LTCM s complex arbitrage plays Now, pushed by VaR, everyone was trying to shut them down Naturally, this created humongous markdowns for LTCM, which held eye-popping massive positions in those areas That which LTCM was long in went down in value, and that which LTCM was short in went up in value (the result of an indiscriminatingly abusive ight-to-quality) The assumption that certain assets were uncorrelated (essential in VaR-land) proved terribly misguided, as plenty of previously uncorrelated stuff began to dive all together By the way, the very theoretical notion of correlation is only valid under a Normal dream Of course, as markets became increasingly poisonous, VaR limits became increasingly violated, demanding yet more liquidations, and so on and so on.

We glossed over one detail in our description of the current example We noted that the class PersonImpl was an implementation of the Person interface PersonImpl also implements the javaioSerializable interface Like Remote, Serializable is a marker interface It indicates that an object can be serialized You can also implement Externalizable This interface extends Serializable and specifies the signatures for the methods writeExternal() and readExternal() You saw in our discussion of GreeterImpl that when the client requests a remote object that is created on the server, it essentially gets a handle to this object This is often referred to as pass by reference When we dug a little deeper you saw that actually you end up talking to a stub that in turn talks (possibly through a skeleton) to GreeterImpl.

When LTCM nally threw in the towel in early September (incapable of meeting the calls for collateral emanating from all that nastiness, and suffering a nal blow from yet another huge Normality-grounded strategy gone dismally bad, equity option selling in this case), the entire nancial system was put in danger, and a government-sponsored rescue plan had to be put in place The VaR virus had made amply certain that a non-immensely critical happenstance in a faraway corner transmuted itself into a system-threatening debacle, by forcing institutions that had been allowed by VaR to be hugely undercapitalized to engage in a rabidly lunatic re sale What about the credit crisis Would it be reasonable to say that adoration towards quantitative nance brought the nancial industry to its.

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